Morgan, Stephen L. and Christopher Winship, Counterfactuals and Causal Inference, (2007)

Counterfactuals and Causal Inference: Methods and Principles for Social Research (Analytical Methods for Social Research)

Counterfactuals and Causal Inference: Methods and Principles for Social Research (Analytical Methods for Social Research)

Part I. Counterfactual Causality and Empirical Research in the Social Sciences:
1. Introduction
2. The counterfactual model

Part II. Estimating Causal Effects by Conditioning:
3. Causal graphs, identification, and models of causal exposure
4. Matching estimators of causal effects
5. Regression estimators of causal effects

Part III. Estimating Causal Effects When Simple Conditioning is Ineffective:
6. Identification in the absence of a complete model of causal exposure
7. Natural experiments and instrumental variables
8. Mechanisms and causal explanation
9. Repeated observations and the estimation of causal effects

Part IV. Conclusions:
10. Counterfactual causality and future empirical research in the social sciences.